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Newsletter | Past Issues
October,
2004
In This Issue:
Farm
Custom Rates in the Midwest
From
Bookkeeper to Chief Financial Officer workshops to be
held this fall
Begin
Now to Think Abour Year's End
Ohio
Income Tax Schools Registration Information
A
Comprehensive Computerized Farm Financial Planning &
Analysis System
Livestock
Price Risk Protection Insurance Policies: Overviews
& Comparison to Using Put Options
Farm
Custom Rates in the Midwest
Barry
Ward,OSU Extension Educator, Champaign County
Each
year, many Ohio farmers hire custom machine work in
their farm business or perform custom machine work for
others. Establishing a fair and equitable price for
these services is frequently challenging. Custom rate
survey results compiled and summarized by University
Extension Economists help farm managers by serving as
a guideline for determining custom rates in their area.
Farm managers and custom operators should carefully
consider their own variable and fixed costs and before
deciding on a custom farm machine rate. The following
three websites are summaries complies by Extension Economists
in Ohio , Indiana , and Iowa respectively.
Farm
Custom Rates Paid in Ohio , 2002
http://www-agecon.ag.ohio-state.edu/people/moore.301/customrate-02.pdf
Indiana
Custom Rates 2004
http://www.ces.purdue.edu/extmedia/EC/EC-130-W.pdf
2004
Iowa Farm Custom rate Survey
http://www.extension.iastate.edu/Publications/FM1698.pdf
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From
Bookkeeper to Chief Financial Officer workshops to be
held this fall in Northeast Ohio
David Marrison, Extension
Educator, Ashtabula County
Dianne
Shoemaker, Extension Specialist, Dairy. OSU Extension
Center at Wooster
Today's
farm bookkeeper is really not “just the bookkeeper”
anymore. This person plays a critically important
role in the farm business. Yes, paying bills on
time, doing payroll and balancing the checkbook are
all important. They are also time consuming!
But, within those numbers you work with is a goldmine
of information critical to planning, decision making
and evaluation of alternatives and opportunities for
your business.
In short, the role of a farm's bookkeeper has developed
into that of a Chief Financial Officer. The Chief
Financial Officer's grasp of the financial health of
a farm business, and the information they can provide
to the rest of the management team provides the foundation
for good decision making.
OSU Extension is pleased to announce that a three-day
workshop series designed specifically for your operation's
chief financial officer will be held in six locations
throughout northeast Ohio this fall. The location
and dates for this program are:
Meeting
Location
Town
Dates
Des
Dutch Essenhaus 1-3:30 pm Shreve,
Ohio
Nov. 15
Dec
6 &13
Jim's Place 7-9:30 pm
New Philadelphia, OH Nov.
15,
Dec
6 &13
Liz Burkholder's 1-3:30 pm
Shiloh, Ohio
Nov 16,
Dec
7 & 14
Stark County Extension 7-9:30 pm
Massillon, Ohio
Nov 16,
Dec 7 &
14
First United Methodist 1-3:30 pm
Salem, Ohio
Nov 17,
Dec 8 &
15
Ashtabula Co. Extension 7-9:30pm
Jefferson, Ohio
Nov 17,
Dec 8 &
15
Whether
you are new to the bookkeeper/CFO role or have years
of experience, the “From Bookkeeper to CFO” workshops
are for you IF you want to grow in that role.
The three sessions include homework assignments.
If you complete your homework assignments, you will
have several completed financial statements by mid-December.
Discussions about income tax planning for 2004, featured
in the second session, will enable participants to evaluate
their farm's projected income tax liabilities while
there is still time to take appropriate actions.
One-on-one assistance will be available both before
and after the sessions.
Register by November 5th to get the best rate.
A complete registration flyer can be found at the Ohio
Ag Manager web site.
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Begin
Now to Think About Year's End
David
Miller, Farm Management Specialist, OSU Extension
Producers
are now focused on harvesting activities as the calendar
changes from September to October. But as the third
quarter of the year ends, managers should also begin
thinking about the financial and tax decisions that
will need to be made by December 31, 2004 .
To
begin financial planning for the year's end it is essential
the 2004 farm records are up to date. The end of September
is an excellent time to do a nine month summary of receipts
and expenses and make comparisons to a 2004 budget or
to similar numbers for 2003 and 2002. While a lot can
happen in the final three months of the year the manager
needs to begin estimating income and expenses for the
remainder of the year utilizing a 2004 budget or income
and expenses from 2002 and 2003 for October, November
and December. Of course any numbers used from a budget
or previous years will need to be adjusted for prices
and quantities to reflect current business conditions.
For
tax planning purposes, it is also important to get an
estimate of the 2004 depreciation for those assets placed
in service prior to 2004. If an accountant keeps the
depreciation records ask for a projection of the 2004
depreciation before any additions or deletions are made
for 2004. If the depreciation schedule is calculated
using a computer program this is a simple request. If
the depreciation records are done manually, this simply
means bringing those records up to date before the end
of the year. With this schedule in hand, the manager
will have an estimate of the “base” depreciation for
2004 and can then make better decisions about managing
the depreciation of assets purchased during 2004.
The
end of September is also a good time to get answers
to any record keeping questions that may have come up
throughout the year. Or to add any additional information
to the records that will help at year's end such as
how much of the seed, fertilizer and chemicals paid
for in the spring went onto share rent landlords' fields
or what were the quantities of livestock feed purchased
throughout the year and do those quantities need to
be allocated to the different enterprises or what was
the break down of principal and interest on the debt
payments made throughout the year.
After
the manager has a handle on where the business is headed
financially for the year consideration can then be given
to plans for the last three months of 2004 to affect
the profitability of the business such as marketing
more or less grain and livestock, paying on any past
due accounts, prepaying next year's operating expenses,
making additional debt payments, purchasing additional
capital assets or possibly setting aside funds for the
estimated 2004 income tax liability.
Producers
think about the profitability of their businesses throughout
the year. However, the record keeping may fall behind
during busy times or not all the needed information
is entered into the record system properly. The final
quarter of the business year is an excellent time to
get the farm records current so the manager can begin
planning possible year-end strategies.
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Ohio
Income Tax Schools Registration Information
Donald
J. Breece, Farm Management Specialist, OSU Extension
The
Ohio Income Tax Schools are designed for individuals
who have had experience preparing and filing federal
and state tax returns for individuals and small businesses,
to include farms. Participants in the two day
schools receive a 700 page workbook and a searchable
CD of past years workbooks. Also, students receive
a RIA Federal Tax Handbook. Continuing Education
Unit credits are available for accountants, attorneys,
enrolled agents and financial planners. A second
school is also available for those with specific Agriculture
interest called the Agriculture Issues Workshop.
Dates, locations and registration information is available
at: http://aede.osu.edu/programs/TaxSchool/
.
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A
Comprehensive Computerized Farm Financial Planning &
Analysis System
Donald
J. Breece, Farm Management Specialist, OSU Extension
FINPACK
is a comprehensive financial planning and analysis system
designed to help farmers understand their financial
situation and make informed decisions. It is not
a record keeping system. Instead, FINPACK makes
it possible to use existing records in business analysis,
cash flow planning and to explore long range alternatives.
Agricultural professionals may also use FINPACK to evaluate
a clients financial situation, recommend management
strategies, and make informed loan decisions.
Extension agents, lenders, adult educators and other
professional have used it with more than 100,000 farms
over the past ten years. In Ohio , farmers may
contact their county Extension office to locate an Extension
Educator to run a FINPACK analysis. Also, FBPA
instructors have the FINPACK program. The Center
for Farm Financial Management, University of Minnesota
developed and support the program. Their web site
is www.cffm.umn.edu
. I also serve as State Leader for FINPACK and may
be reached for more information at: breece.2@osu.edu.
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Livestock
Risk Protection Insurance Policies: Overview and Comparison
to Using Put Options
Dr.
Brian Roe, Associate Professor, Department of AED Economics
& Livestock Marketing Specialist
Volatile
prices over the past two years have left many livestock
producers wondering how to best manage the downside
price risk they face. As of October 1, 2004 , USDA has
introduced a new price risk management tool available
to hog producers, feedlot operators, back grounders,
and cow-calf operators: a livestock revenue insurance
policy called Livestock Risk Protection (LRP). Originally
piloted in Iowa over the past couple of years, the program
operates on a simple premise: you insure against downward
movement in hog or cattle prices that might occur after
you have committed to growing them. For those familiar
with futures and options lingo, this is a lot like a
put option. While the general concept behind LRP is
similar to put options, operational details are different.
The purpose of this article is to outline the general
concepts of LRP, highlight differences between LRP and
options, and provide an example that compares LRP to
put options.
Livestock
Risk Protection
Livestock
Risk Protection policies are sold by licensed insurance
agents to livestock owners to cover downward price movements
for livestock that will be sold by the owner when the
growing phase is complete. A contract, which covers
the total expected weight of the finished livestock
(live weight for cattle and lean weight for hogs), can
be purchased any time after livestock are obtained.
There are paperwork requirements when first signing
up, e.g., establishing that you are actually an owner
of the livestock and documenting percent of livestock
you own. Premiums, which include all commissions, are
paid in full up front. Also, if you take out an insurance
policy, you are not allowed to take offsetting positions
in the futures market.
The
producer has several options when it comes to buying
the insurance contract, both with respect to percent
of market price insured and with respect to the length
of the contract. With regard to length of time, fed
cattle and feeder cattle policies can last 13, 17, 21,
26, 30, 34, 39, 43, 47 or 52 weeks, while hog policies
can last 13, 17, 21, or 26 weeks. There should be enough
flexibility with these lengths to have the insurance
policy expire within 30 days of actual sales date.
With
regard to amount of coverage, producers can choose coverage
prices that typically range from 70% to 95% of the prevailing
market price on the day the insurance policy is written.
That is, if the prevailing market price on the last
day of the insurance policy falls below coverage price
established when the policy was written, then the livestock
owner gets an indemnity payment that makes up the difference
between the prevailing market price and the coverage
price. Suppose the prevailing market price on the day
the insurance policy was written was $100 and the producer
chose a coverage price of $90. If on the last day of
the insurance contract the prevailing market price was
$75, the owner receives an indemnity payment of $15
($90 coverage price - $75 prevailing market price).
The
prevailing price used for fed cattle is the 5-area weighted
weekly weighted average 35 to 65 % choice steer price
(live weight). For feeder cattle and hog policies, the
prevailing price used is the CME cash price index for
feeder cattle and lean hogs, which are used by the CME
to settle unclosed futures positions at the time of
expiration (live cattle still allows delivery of cattle,
while feeder cattle and lean hogs switched to cash settlement
several years ago). Hence, local basis for livestock
insurance contracts may be a little different than most
producers are used to seeing. Because the insurance
contracts rely upon CME data, all policies are written
after the CME closes in the early afternoon and before
it reopens the following workday.
Put
Options
Put
options are sold by licensed commodity brokers to livestock
owners or anyone with speculative interest in livestock
markets. Put options give the owner the right to sell
a futures contract with a specified maturity date for
a given price (known as the strike price). Because put
options revolve around futures contracts, the amount
of livestock product covered by a single option is fixed
to 40,000 pounds of live cattle (about 31 head averaging
1300 pounds), 50,000 pounds of feeder cattle (about
62 800-pounders) and 40,000 pounds of lean hog (about
204 265-pounders). A contract can be purchased at any
time regardless of when cattle are placed on feed. There
are paperwork requirements as well, e.g., to establish
a brokerage account. Premiums and a commission must
be paid up front and, if one needs to exercise the option
(or resell it for a profit), another commission is incurred
at that time.
Put
options also allow flexibility when it comes to the
percent of market price ‘insured' and with respect to
the length of the contract. Options are written on all
futures contracts traded on the CME starting approximately
6 months prior to expiration, which should also allow
most cash sales to occur within about 30 days of option
expiration dates.
With
regard to amount of coverage (or, in options parlance,
the strike price), producers can choose put options
from an even wider range, including at prices at or
above the prevailing futures price. Unlike the insurance
policies, put options can be exercised at any point,
not just on one agreed upon date. Also, the relevant
local basis is the difference between local cash price
and CME futures price.
LRP
and Put Options – Pros and Cons
One
advantage of options is that they provide more flexibility
with regard to the timing of purchase and sale, i.e.,
the dates during which coverage begins and ends. Insurance
contracts are quite inflexible, particularly with regard
to the date which indemnities are determined. In a sense,
a put option allows the producer to pick the day when
the indemnity will be determined. Such freedom can be
a mixed blessing, however, and make the put option a
more speculative instrument than a hedging instrument.
Another
advantage of put options is that, in the event of an
adverse price movement, the proceeds of selling the
put are paid immediately. For insurance, indemnities
are paid merely within 60 days of filing the necessary
paperwork. So, in reality, in low price scenarios, those
covered by insurance may have to wait up to two months
longer to receive their benefits than would put option
holders.
One
clear advantage of the insurance policy is that it covers
exactly the number of animals you own, ranging from
a single animal up to 1,000 head of feeder cattle, 2,000
head of fed cattle or 10,000 head of hogs. Put options
have fixed contract sizes, and your particular marketing
level may fall between common contract sizes. For example,
if you plan to market 300 hogs and want to use put options,
you can either cover about 200 hogs with one put option
contract and leave 100 unprotected or you can cover
400 hogs with two put options and, in a sense, be speculating
about the performance of the lean hog futures price
with the extra 100 hogs' worth of option contract you
own. However, if you are a big operator, you may exceed
LRP's coverage levels, leaving put options to be the
method that allows for adequate coverage.
Another
advantage of the insurance contract with regard to feeder
cattle is that separate contracts exist by the sex (heifers
and steers), weight (less and more than 600 pounds),
and breed (Brahma, Holstein and other breeds) of the
animal. Put options, which work off of the CME feeder
cattle contract, are based upon beef breeds weighing
700 to 850 pounds.
A
practical advantage of the insurance policy versus put
option is that all expenses are incurred up front; recall
that options may have commissions that occur near the
time livestock are sold in low-price situations. Furthermore,
there is no ambiguity concerning whether these expenses
are tax deductible (some more entangled options positions
might be construed as speculating by adamant IRS agents
and, hence, not deductible).
Finally,
the federal government subsidizes 13% of cost of the
insurance premiums, which make insurance quite cost
competitive with options with respect to providing similar
downside risk protection.
An
Example of LRP and Put Options
To
illustrate the bottom line differences between I will
give an example comparing the two forms of price protection.
I am using an example of 3 different size operators
who put both forms of price protection into position
on October 4, 2004 . All operators have cattle with
a planned finishing weight of 1300 and a planned sale
date of January 31, 2004 . Operator 1 has 15 head, Operator
2 has 30 head and Operator 3 has 45 head; recall, it
takes about 30 head at that weight to fill a single
options contract.
The
LRP rates and costs are taken from USDA's website, while
option premiums are the settlement prices posted on
the CME website at close of business for October 4,
2004 . The February live cattle futures contract closed
that day at $89.62/cwt. The put option strategy involves
buying a single put option with a strike price of $84/cwt.
(roughly a 94% coverage rate); the premium was $1.80/cwt,
plus the operator incurs a $75 commission paid to the
broker to transact the deal.
The
LRP strategy involves buying a policy to cover exactly
the number of cattle each farmer has. The coverage price
was $83.07/cwt (roughly a 93% coverage rate) and the
insurance premium was $1.86 after factoring in the 13%
subsidy from USDA.
Consider
three possible price scenarios: good ($92), bad ($82),
and very bad ($75). These prices represent the price
of the 5-area weighted cattle price for 35 to 65% choice
steers reported on January 31 of 2005. (For simplicity,
we will assume that the local cash price will be identical
to both the CME futures price, used to settle options,
and the 5-area cattle price, used to settle the insurance
contract indemnity rate). Also, consider the three different
sizes of operator. The effective cash sales price, assuming
local basis is zero, is listed for each scenario in
Table 1. These are the prices per cwt. obtained after
factoring in all expenses associated with both the option
strategy and LRP, including all commissions and interest
lost from cash tied up in executing the strategy.
Table
1. Effective Cash Price with Local Basis of $0 under
Put Option and LRP Strategies.
#
Marketed |
Price
on Sales Date |
$92
|
$82
|
$75
|
Option
|
LRP
|
Option
|
LRP
|
Option
|
LRP
|
15
Head |
$87.97
|
$90.12
|
$81.60
|
$81.19
|
$88.60
|
$81.19
|
30
Head |
$89.99
|
$90.12
|
$81.80
|
$81.19
|
$81.80
|
$81.19
|
45
Head |
$90.66
|
$90.12
|
$81.87
|
$81.19
|
$79.53
|
$81.19
|
There
are two scenarios in which the LRP is yields a noticeably
larger effective price. The first is for the 15-head
operator when the futures price is good ($92). Under
this Options Strategy, this operator was forced to purchase
coverage for 30 head when only 15 head were on hand,
essentially leaving a speculative position in the put
options market for the other 15 head covered by the
put. When the futures market did well, the value of
the put was zero, meaning the operator essentially had
speculative – money was spent on a put for cattle the
operator never owned and the put never gained any value.
Of course, if the futures market plunges to $75, that
value of the put option skyrockets, handing the 15-head
operator a speculative gain, which appears as a much
larger effective price for the Option Strategy than
the LRP Strategy.
The
second scenario in which the LRP Strategy outperforms
the Option Strategy is for the 45-head operator when
the futures market only reaches $75. Here, again, the
operator has 15 head of cattle that are essentially
not hedged. Hence, when the futures market does poorly,
it is not surprising that the effective price is lower
because 1/3 of the cattle were not protected from downside
risk protection. However, when the market is strong
($92), those put options have no value and the fact
that the 45-head operator did not protect 15 head is
now a benefit. In this case, the Option Strategy yields
a higher effective price.
For
the 30-head operator, both strategies fully cover all
animals marketed. In this case the two strategies yield
essentially the same prices. The Option Strategy does
slightly better in the ‘bad' and ‘very bad' price scenario,
while the LRP does better in the ‘good' price scenario.
These modest differences are driven by the slightly
different coverage levels available on the day the two
contracts were initiated, i.e., the Option Strategy
protected for prices below $84 while the LRP policy
protected for prices below $83.07.
A
key outcome to notice is that, as you scan down a column
of effective LRP prices, the price is not affected by
the size of the operation. This stems from the fact
that LRP covers exactly the number of animals the operator
has while the options strategy covers a fixed number
of cattle regardless of the operator's true size. This
means that LRP has a greater ability to truly hedge
the price position while the Option Strategy only provides
an exact hedge for operators with exactly the correct
number of head.
Summary
The
Livestock Risk Protection (LRP) Insurance Policy offers
a flexible method for achieving downside price risk
protection. The program provides greater ability to
place a true hedge for any size producer than do strategies
relying on options because options are sold to cover
a fixed amount of livestock output, while the insurance
policies are written to cover exactly the amount of
livestock held by the operator. Some operators not familiar
with futures and options markets may also find it easier
buy an insurance policy than to buy put options.
Options
programs do offer greater flexibility with regard to
the time when downside price protection is removed,
allowing astute operators familiar with futures markets
to (potentially) close out options positions for greater
return. Also, there exist annual limits to the number
of fed cattle (4,000), feeder cattle (2,000) and hogs
(32,000) covered by LRP. Therefore, some large operations
may not be able to access complete coverage via LRP.
One
final point is that neither program can guarantee that
the operator will cover costs of production because
both programs are tied to the futures market, which
may simply be trading in a range below costs of production.
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A successful subscription message will receive by an
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if you have problems subscribing.
Editors:
Chris Bruynis, Bill Hudson & David Marrison
Information
presented above and where trade names are used, they
are supplied with the understanding that no discrimination
is intended and no endorsement by Ohio State University
Extension is implied. Although every attempt is made
to produce information that is complete, timely, and
accurate, the pesticide user bears responsibility of
consulting the pesticide label and adhering to those
directions.
All
educational programs conducted by Ohio State University
Extension are available to clientele on a nondiscriminatory
basis without regard to race, color, creed, religion,
sexual orientation, national origin, gender, age, disability
or Vietnam-era veteran status.
Issued
in furtherance of Cooperative Extension work, Acts of
May 8 and June 30, 1914, in cooperation with the U.S.
Department of Agriculture, Keith L. Smith, Director,
Ohio State University Extension.
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